Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 3:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has put up 3.2 assists per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 0.8 more than he's put up in all games this season at home.
Jakob Poeltl has tallied just 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 3.5 fouls per game last year.
The 10th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 13thbest in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Jakob Poeltl will likely get a boost in productivity in all facets of the game in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Raptors will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).
The Phoenix Suns have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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