Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has posted 3.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's posted over the course of the year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.5 fouls per game last year.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from competing against the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).
Away from their home court, the Cavaliers have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this contest.

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