Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 10:14 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate bonus chances for offense).
Jakob Poeltl will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has tallied a lowly 1.8 assists per game this season, significantly less than his 2.7 assists per game last season.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.
The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Raptors.

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