Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 11, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 10.5 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has totaled just 1.5 assists per game this season, quite a bit less than his 2.7 assists per game last season.
Jakob Poeltl has averaged 3.5 personal fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 2.5 fouls per game last year.
The Raptors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league while playing on the road this year.
Jakob Poeltl will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.

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