Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl is expected to see an increase in productivity in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl ranks in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.7 fouls per game away from home this year.
The 5th-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should reduce plays for the Raptors.
This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (maintaining possessions that can result in bonus opportunities for offense).

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