Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 12, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 10:26 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-196/+149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -196.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has put up 2.7 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 75th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Bulls have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boosts player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (89th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Bulls have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Raptors.

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