Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -172 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has compiled 3.0 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the NBA by this standard over this stretch: 76th percentile.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While at home, the Celtics have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Jakob Poeltl will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers stat production across the board.

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