Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has put up 3.0 assists per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
At home, the Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
Jakob Poeltl will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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