Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -172 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 3.5 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the league leaders by this standard over this stretch: 81st percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The 76ers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The 76ers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Spurs.

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