Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 3.5 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the league's best by this standard in recent days: 81st percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Spurs.
The Kings have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

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