Jakob Poeltl Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Jakob Poeltl

NBA · Player Props

Jakob Poeltl

C · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jakob Poeltl Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jakob Poeltl has put up 2.9 assists per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric in recent days.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Lakers.

Favors Under

Jakob Poeltl has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.
The Lakers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jakob Poeltl will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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