Jake LaRavia Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Jake LaRavia

NBA · Player Props

Jake LaRavia

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 1:30 AM EST

Analysis

Jake LaRavia Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 28.2% mark, Jake LaRavia's three-point efficiency has spiked this year to 40.5%.
Jake LaRavia has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The Kings are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 10th-best in in the NBA at home with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Jake LaRavia stands to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

As it relates to 3-pointers, the Kings's lackluster 12.5 drained threes per game comes in as the 7th-worst in the league this year.
The 4th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
Jake LaRavia has attempted a measly 1.7 free throws per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 3.1 rate last season.

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