Jake LaRavia Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Jake LaRavia

NBA · Player Props

Jake LaRavia

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 1:10 AM UTC

Analysis

Jake LaRavia Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
This matchup is a difficult one for threes; when the Trail Blazers are the visiting squad, opposing teams have put up the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (33.7%).
Jake LaRavia has sunk 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 7.5% more than he's converted overall this year.
Jake LaRavia ought to get a boost in production in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 26.9% rate, Jake LaRavia's three-point prowess has dropped this season to 16.9%.
The 5th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, their opposition has nabbed 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers (retaining possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

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