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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has compiled 1.2 offensive rebounds per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric over this stretch.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played 29.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 77th percentile.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league as the away team with only 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Playing at home, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. should suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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