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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2025

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 51.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games at home, 12.0% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season when playing at home.

With respect to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's fantastic 38.1% rate of made threes at home measures as the 5th-best in the league over the last 25 games.

The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for threes; when the Houston Rockets are away from home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. will likely see a spike in efficiency across the board considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 9.6 rate, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s field goal attempts have dropped this year to 7.1 per game.

In contrast to last year's 28.3 clip, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s playing time has decreased this year to 21.8 minutes per game.

The most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 8th-least up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league at home with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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