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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2025

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 57.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 11.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league while playing on the road over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat.

The New York Knicks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Miami Heat.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 90.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 11.9% higher than he's made in all games this season on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against New York is a challenging one for field goals; when the New York Knicks are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the lowest FG% in the league this year (33.3%).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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