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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2025

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 61.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 15.8% more than he's made over the course of the year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have scored 15.8 points per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Grizzlies, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive production.

The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 21.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.

The Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 12 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, struggling to get to the foul line.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance for all stats.

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