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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's outstanding 14.0 drained threes per game while on the road comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA this year.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's converted over the course of the year away from home.

Over the last 17 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 26.4% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking him in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the least threes per game in the league this year (0.8).

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Mavericks have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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