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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 10th-highest in the league this year.

This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on threes (highest in the league) against the Warriors, designating this as a positive matchup.

The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Warriors).

The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. comes in at the 18th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a weak 24.1% rate this year.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has shot and missed 1.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's missed in all games this season.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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