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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a strong matchup.
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's made overall this year while playing away from home.
  • The matchup against Sacramento may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Kings have the home court advantage (7th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 25.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, placing him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 21 games when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (30th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (lengthening possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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