Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 2.2 rate, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s personal fouls per game have fallen this year to 1.3.
When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive team in the league on their home court this year has been the Heat.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. registers in the 20th percentile for three-point proficiency with a feeble 26.2% rate this year.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Heat have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last year's 82.3% mark, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s foul-shot prowess has been reduced this year to 65.0%.

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