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Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-124/-108).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -108.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. lands in the 77th percentile for shots converted, compiling a colossal 5.1 per game this year.Among all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. measures in the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 29.6 minutes per game this year.This year when they are on the road, the other team has secured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise create extra opportunities for offense).As a team, the Miami Heat have been very successful at getting to the charity stripe recently: 4th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road with 23.6 free throws per game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 20.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 12.2% lower than he's made overall this season.Among all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. places in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.4 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.This year when they are away from home, their opposition has shot 50.0% on field goal attempts (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, marking this as a good matchup.The least up-tempo tempo road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Miami Heat.
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