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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 4.9 buckets per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
  • As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's terrific 37.4% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-most in the NBA this year.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a strong matchup.
  • The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 18.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 13.0% lower than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. rates in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.4 fouls per game away from home this year.
  • The least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production across the board.

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