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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7).

The Celtics have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Miami Heat.

Out of all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks in the 80th percentile for free-throw effectiveness at home with a an outstanding 87.8% rate this year.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 17.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 16.0% less than he's made from downtown in all games this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. comes in at the 81st percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game while on his home court this year.

The 3rd-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Heat.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have come down with 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (preserving possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).

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