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Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 29.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year.In regard to 3-pointers, the Miami Heat's excellent 39.6% rate of converted threes at home rates 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.The Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing at home.Jaime Jaquez Jr. will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 21.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 13.3% less than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.Out of all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. registers in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.4 fouls per game this year.The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Heat.The Orlando Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 6thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
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