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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has scored 20.0 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.1 higher than he's scored in all games this season at home.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 29.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

As it relates to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's impressive 40.4% rate of made threes while playing at home comes in as the best in the NBA over the last 20 games.

This matchup is a tough one for scoring; when the Suns are the visiting team, opposing teams have put up the 4th-lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (46.2%).

The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. slots into the 84th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have brought down 14.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Suns (lengthening possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).

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