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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. lands in the 76th percentile for shots from the field scored away from his home court, posting a whopping 5.1 per game this year.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

With respect to three-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 13.1 drained threes per game while on the road comes in as the 9th-most in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. Phoenix is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 21st-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.9).

The Suns have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has shot and missed 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's missed from downtown over the course of the season when playing on the road.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league when playing on the road this year.

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Phoenix Suns may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games (12th-least in the NBA).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production across the board.

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