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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -166.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has attempted 12.0 shots per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Orlando Magic is a positive one for three-point shots; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 23rd-most treys per game in the NBA this year (1.9).

The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Magic).

This year when they are away from home, their opposition has grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in additional chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. is expected to suffer a drop-off in output across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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