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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 6.6 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have attempted 20.2 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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