Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

G · Miami Heat

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 12:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 5.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 more than he's made in all games this year while playing on the road.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 7.8 higher than he's played overall this year on the road.
The Heat check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 7 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has averaged 85.5 field goal attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, branding this as a tough matchup.

Favors Under

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (continuing possessions that can produce more chances for offense).

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