Jaime Jaquez Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 3:17 AM EST

Analysis

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.0 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 3.0 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).
The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. rates in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.4 fouls per game away from home this year.
The least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production across the board.

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