Jae'Sean Tate Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Jae'Sean Tate

NBA · Player Props

Jae'Sean Tate

F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Jae'Sean Tate Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jae'Sean Tate has tallied 3.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
Jae'Sean Tate has played 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's played overall this season.
The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Jae'Sean Tate has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games without the home court advantage, 1.7 more than he's been called for in all games this season on the road.
The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.
Jae'Sean Tate will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.

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