Jae'Sean Tate Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Jae'Sean Tate

NBA · Player Props

Jae'Sean Tate

F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Houston Rockets · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

Jae'Sean Tate Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jae'Sean Tate has totaled 1.3 offensive boards per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
Jae'Sean Tate has averaged 22.1 minutes per game over the last 14 games, 8.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league at home this year, which should increase plays for the Houston Rockets.
When playing away from home, the LA Clippers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jae'Sean Tate has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games on the road, 2.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.
The 2nd-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 5thworst in in the league with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Jae'Sean Tate will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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