Jae'Sean Tate Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Jae'Sean Tate

NBA · Player Props

Jae'Sean Tate

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jae'Sean Tate Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jae'Sean Tate has made 56.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 7.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Jae'Sean Tate has played 24.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's played overall this year.
This matchup is a tough one for scoring; when the Boston Celtics are playing at home, opposing teams have compiled the 2nd-lowest field goal rate in the NBA against them this year (44.3%).
The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 7thbest in in the league while playing away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Jae'Sean Tate has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games when playing away from home, 1.7 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road.
The Rockets check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA as the away team this year.
The Boston Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last season's 1.6 mark, Jae'Sean Tate's free throws made have regressed this season to 0.6 per game.

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