Jae'Sean Tate Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

NBA · Player Props

Jae'Sean Tate

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Jae'Sean Tate Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-127/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jae'Sean Tate has sunk 75.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 24.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season on his home court.
Jae'Sean Tate has sunk 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 17.4% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
In terms of scoring, the Houston Rockets's terrific 120.9 points per game ranks 8th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 8th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.
While playing away from home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jae'Sean Tate has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile).
This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 40.6% on field goals (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 10thworst in in the league with the home court advantage with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the league).