Jae'Sean Tate Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Jae'Sean Tate

NBA · Player Props

Jae'Sean Tate

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jae'Sean Tate Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-137/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have averaged 41.1% on three-pointers (23rd-best in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, labeling this as a good matchup.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Rockets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Jae'Sean Tate will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jae'Sean Tate slots into the 77th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Rockets have been the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have grabbed 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (preserving possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).
Jae'Sean Tate has successfully made 0.4 free throws per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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