Jae'Sean Tate Points - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Jae'Sean Tate

NBA · Player Props

Jae'Sean Tate

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Jae'Sean Tate Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jae'Sean Tate has converted 43.8% of his treys over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's made from three overall this season.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have tallied the 2nd-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (30.8).
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise plays for the Rockets.
As a team, the Houston Rockets have been very successful at drawing fouls in recent days: 2nd-best in the league over the last 5 games, totaling 30.6 foul shots per game.
This year, opposing clubs have attempted 22.0 free throws per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Jae'Sean Tate has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games while on the road, 1.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 25 games, the other team has secured 12.2 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (continuing possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).
Jae'Sean Tate has sunk just 0.5 foul shots per game this season, significantly less than his 1.6 mark last season.

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