Jae'Sean Tate Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Jae'Sean Tate

NBA · Player Props

Jae'Sean Tate

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Jae'Sean Tate Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+112/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 28.5% clip, Jae'Sean Tate's 3-point performance has risen this season to 37.1%.
Jae'Sean Tate has tallied a whopping 21.9 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 20.8 minutes per game last season.
As it relates to treys, the Rockets's remarkable 37.9% rate of drained threes places 10th-most in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (losing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).
Jae'Sean Tate will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jae'Sean Tate has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Rockets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
The Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jae'Sean Tate has made a lowly 66.7% of his free throws this season, a significant dropoff from his 80.7 mark last season.

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