Jae'Sean Tate Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Jae'Sean Tate

NBA · Player Props

Jae'Sean Tate

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Jae'Sean Tate Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Pelicans have the home court advantage, opposing teams have compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (31.4%).
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Pelicans).
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Jae'Sean Tate will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to raise player production across the board.

Favors Under

Jae'Sean Tate has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Rockets have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from home since the start of last season.
The Rockets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league while playing at home this year.
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has brought down 13.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans (lengthening possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

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