Jae'Sean Tate Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Jae'Sean Tate

NBA · Player Props

Jae'Sean Tate

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Jae'Sean Tate Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Kings).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 15thbest in in the league while playing at home with 13.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
While on their home court, the Sacramento Kings have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jae'Sean Tate will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Jae'Sean Tate has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
In regard to offense, the Rockets's lackluster 110.6 points per game settles in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season.
This matchup is a strong one for scoring; when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting squad, their opposition has averaged the 3rd-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA against them since the start of last season (43.6).
The 7th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

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