Jae'Sean Tate Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Jae'Sean Tate

NBA · Player Props

Jae'Sean Tate

F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 2:57 AM EST

Analysis

Jae'Sean Tate Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +136 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jae'Sean Tate has played 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's played overall this season.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 26th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games (5.5).
The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Jae'Sean Tate has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games without the home court advantage, 1.7 more than he's been called for in all games this season on the road.
The Houston Rockets have been the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing on the road this year.
The matchup against Jaime Jaquez Jr. is a tough one for shots from downtown; when facing fellow starting SFs this year, they have converted a mere 30.8% of their attempts from beyond the arc (23rd percentile).
The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.

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