Jaden McDaniels Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Steals

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has put up 1.8 steals per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
Jaden McDaniels has tallied 38.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA this year.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.
Jaden McDaniels should see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this game.

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