Jaden McDaniels Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 13, 2024

Updated Dec 14, 2024 1:00 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 1.3 offensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent games: 78th percentile.
Jaden McDaniels should see an increase in performance across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels rates in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.6 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Timberwolves are expected to see a decline in plays today from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Lakers).
The Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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