Jaden McDaniels Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has totaled 3.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.2 higher than he's totaled overall this year on the road.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels ranks in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Spurs have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels stands to suffer a drop-off in output in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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