Jaden McDaniels Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has put up 1.4 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this metric recently: 81st percentile.
Jaden McDaniels has tallied 30.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league while at home this year.
The Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should increase plays for the Timberwolves.
Jaden McDaniels will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Lakers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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