Jaden McDaniels Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has compiled 3.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.2 higher than he's compiled in all games this season at home.
Jaden McDaniels has averaged 30.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Warriors have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Without the home court advantage, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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