Jaden McDaniels Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 30, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has posted 5.6 rebounds per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.5 higher than he's posted in all games this year at home.
Jaden McDaniels has averaged 30.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 80th percentile.
The Kings have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 12 games at home.
The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Kings.

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