Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2026

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 5, 2026

Updated Mar 6, 2026 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has put up 19.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 more than he's put up overall this season.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a good one; when the Raptors are away from home, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (23.9).
The fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 10th-best in in the league while on their home court with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 4.5 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

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