Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2026

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat · Jan 6, 2026

Updated Jan 7, 2026 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-122/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Miami Heat have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 8th-best in in the league playing at home with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

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