Jaden McDaniels Points - Player Prop Bet 5/26/2025

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 26, 2025

Updated May 27, 2025 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels lands in the 77th percentile for shots converted, averaging a colossal 5.0 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels lands in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 32.0 minutes per game this year.
The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Thunder).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Jaden McDaniels has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 19.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's accumulated in all games this year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 25.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The least up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
The matchup against Oklahoma may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Thunder are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the league).

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